Calculating Credibility: Click for more

Daryl G. Press, Calculating Credibility: How Leaders Assess Military Threats

(Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2005). Part of the Cornell Studies in International Security series.
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Academic Research

"Why States Won't Give Nuclear Weapons to Terrorists"
International Security, forthcoming, 2013.

"Atomic Aversion: Experimental Evidence on Taboos, Traditions, and the
Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons"

American Political Science Review, Vol. 107, Issue 1 (February 2013).

"Is the Prize Worth Protecting? An Exchange"
Correspondence on "Protecting the Prize: Oil and U.S. National Security"

Security Studies, Vol. 22, Issue 1 (Winter 2013).

"Protecting the Prize: Oil and U.S. National Security"
Security Studies, Vol. 19, No. 3 (Fall 2010).

"Second Strike"
Correspondence on "The Nukes We Need: Preserving the American Deterrent"

Foreign Affairs, March/April 2010.
[Foreign Affairs Magazine]

"The Nukes We Need: Preserving the American Deterrent"
Foreign Affairs, November/December 2009.
[pdf of article -- with appendix]  |  [Foreign Affairs Magazine]

"The End of MAD? The Nuclear Dimension of U.S. Primacy"
International Security, Vol. 30, No. 4 (Spring 2006).

"The Short Shadow of U.S. Primacy?"
Correspondence on "The End of MAD?"

International Security, Vol. 31, No. 3 (Winter 2006/07).

"Nuclear Exchange: Does Washington Really Have (or Want) Nuclear Primacy?"
Correspondence on "The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy"

Foreign Affairs, September/October 2006.
[pdf]  |  [Foreign Affairs Magazine]

"The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy"
Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006.
[pdf]  |  [Foreign Affairs Magazine]

"U.S. Nuclear Primacy and the Future of the Chinese Deterrent"
China Security, Vol. 3, No. 5 (Winter 2007).

"The Credibility of Power: Assessing Threats during the 'Appeasement' Crises of the 1930s"
International Security, Vol. 29, No. 3 (Winter 2004/05).

"Energy Alarmism: The Myths that Make Americans Worry about Oil"
Cato Policy Analysis, No. 589, April 2007.

"The Effects of Wars on Neutral Countries: Why It Doesn’t Pay to Preserve the Peace"
Security Studies, Vol. 10, No. 4 (Summer 2001).

"The Myth of Airpower in the Persian Gulf War and the Future of Airpower"
International Security, Vol. 26, No. 2 (Fall 2001).

"Lessons From Ground Combat in the Gulf: The Impact of Training and Technology"
International Security, Vol. 22, No. 2 (Fall 1997).

"Come Home, America: The Strategy of Restraint in the Face of Temptation"
International Security, Vol. 21, No. 4 (Spring 1997).

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Selected Popular Press

"Obama's Nuclear Upgrade: The Case for Modernizing America's Nukes"
Foreign Affairs Website, July 6, 2011.
[Foreign Affairs Website]

"Footprints in the Sand"
The American Interest, March/April 2010.

"The Strategy of Restraint: Reclaiming Our Strategic Depth"
World Affairs, Fall 2009.

"All the Oil We Need"
New York Times, August 21, 2008.

"Superiority Complex: Why America's growing nuclear supremacy may make war with China more likely"
The Atlantic Monthly, July / August 2007.

"Time to Offshore Our Troops"
New York Times, December 12, 2006.

"A Victory, But Little Is Gained"
New York Times, November 17, 2004.

"How to Take Baghdad"
New York Times, March 26, 2003.

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