Probability of Dying in any One Year from Various Causes

Motor vehicle accident, living in US

1 in 100

Smoking 10 cigarettes a day

1 in 200

All natural causes, age 40

1 in 850

Any kind of violence or poisoning

1 in 3300

Influenza

1 in 5000

Accident on the road (driving in Europe)

1 in 8000

Leukemia

1 in 12,500

Asteroid or comet impact, living in US

1 in 20,000

Earthquake, living in Iran

1 in 23,500

Playing field sports

1 in 25,000

Accident at home

1 in 26,000

Accident at work

1 in 43,500

Floods, living in Bangladesh

1 in 50,000

Radiation, working in radiation industry

1 in 57,000

Tornado, living in US

1 in 60,000

Homicide living in Europe

1 in 100,000

Floods, living in northern China

1 in 100,000

Railway accident (travelling in Europe)

1 in 500,000

Earthquake, living in California

1 in 2,000,000

Food poisoining by botulism in US

1 in 3,000,000

Hit by lightning

1 in 10,000,000

Windstorm, living in northern Europe

1 in 10,000,000

Sources: Coburn, A. and Spence, R., 1992, Earthquake Protection, Wiley, Chichester, England, as quoted in Kovach, R. L., 1995, Earth’s Fury, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

Morrison, D., 1992, The Spaceguard Surve, Report of the NASA International Near-Earth Object Detection Workshop, Pasadena, CA, NASA/JPL.