Please join us on May 20 from 12:30-2:00pm, for our next seminar with Brandon Kinne of the University of California, Davis
Bilateral Defense Cooperation and the New Global Security Network
Brandon Kinne, UC Davis
Volanakis Faculty Seminar Room (Buchanan 051, Tuck School)
Abstract: The study of defense cooperation has historically focused on formal military alliances, but alliances are dwindling in number and rarely invoked. In contrast, bilateral defense cooperation agreements (DCAs) have proliferated dramatically. At their most ambitious, DCAs coordinate and regulate the entirety of their respective member states' defense-related interactions, covering such areas as defense industrial cooperation, weapons acquisition, mutual consultation, joint exercises, training and military education, research and development, and exchange of classified information. Since 1980, states have signed nearly 2,000 of these agreements. Taken as a whole, they constitute an emerging, hitherto unexamined network of global security cooperation. This project uses newly collected data, covering the period 1980 to 2010, to assess the impact of this network on key outcomes in international defense cooperation, including bilateral weapons flows, joint military exercises, and active bilateral cooperation in militarized disputes and peacekeeping missions. We employ inferential models of network coevolution, which allow us to (1) model dependencies in both the DCA network and in the outcomes of interest, and (2) model the reciprocal or “coevolutionary” relationship between DCAs and those outcomes. The analysis shows that DCAs increase defense cooperation in all areas. These agreements play a fundamental role in the contemporary global security environment and are now at least as influential as traditional military alliances.
For details of other forthcoming events, please click here.
For a copy of the slide deck from James O’Malley’s workshop on techniques for social network analysis, please click here.