2000 Chance Lecture Series

• Risky Business
  Robert Hamman
  Founder, SCA Promotions, Inc.
  


• Benford's Law
  It's a Secret Law of Numbers
  (Increasingly Being Used by Auditors)
  Mark Nigrini
  Cox School of Business
  


• Coincidence, Bad Science, and Other Pitfalls
  in the Regulation of Medical Products
  Susan Ellenberg
  Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research
  Food and Drug Administration
  


• Quantifying the Nature-Nurture Debate
  Matthew McGue
  Department of Psychology
  University of Minnesota
  


• Medical Research - Study Results vs. Study Conclusions
  A Cautionary Guide
  Jonas H. Ellenberg
  Vice President and Senior Statistician, Westat
  


• Probability by Surprise:
  Teaching with Paradoxes and Animations
  Susan Holmes
  Statistics Department, Stanford University
  


• How Many Hardcore Drug Users?
  Counting Hard to Reach Populations
  Bill Rhodes
  Principal Scientist and Fellow
  ABT Associates, Inc.

1998 Chance Lecture Series

• The Risk to Civilization from Extraterrestrial Objects
   Clark Chapman
   Southwest Research Institute
• Epidemiology in Every-day Inference
   John Baron
   Dartmouth Medical School
• Streaks in Sports
   Tom Gilovich
   Cornell University
• Statistical Issues in Census 2000
   David Freedman
   University of California Berkeley
• Approaches and Social Aspects of Viaticals
   Cindi McCary
   American Viatical Testing Co.
• Once Upon a Number -- Mathematics and Narrative
   John Paulos
   Temple University
• Hedge funds and Gambling in the Capital Markets
   Jeff Norman
   ZAIS Group

1997 Chance Lecture Series

• Risk in Everyday Life
   Arnold Barnett
   MIT
• National Weather Forecasting
   Daniel Wilks
   Cornell University
• Local Weather Forecasting
   Mark Breen
   Fairbanks Museum
• Stock Market Valuation
   Sheri Aggarwal
   Dartmouth College
• Probability and Statistics in Gaming
   Olaf Vancura
   Harvard University
• Polls
   David Moore
   Gallup Organization
• DNA Fingerprinting in the Courts
   Bruce Weir
   North Carolina State University
• Statistical Issues in ESP Research
   Ray Hyman
   University of Oregon
• Statistics in Sports
   Hal Stern
   Iowa State University
• Census 2000
   Tommy Wright
   Bureau of the Census

• Aspirin and Prevention of Heart Disease
   John Baron
   Dartmouth Medical School


Chance Workshop Lectures
• Hidden Codes in Chance Magazine
   Stephen Samuels
   Purdue University
• How to Display Data Badly
   Howard Wainer
   Educational Testing Service
• The Bible Codes
  Maya-Bar Hillel
   Hebrew University

Other Chance Lectures


• Risk and Revolution:
  La Loterie de France 1759 - 1836
  Stephen Stigler
  University of Chicago
  Reese Prosser Lecture
Dartmouth College Fall 2002

• To Sample or Not to Sample?
  Why is That the Question for Census 2000?
   Stephen Fienberg
   Carnegie Mellon University
• DNA and Probability
   Jonathan J. Koehler
   University of Texas
• Huygens Justifies the Definition
  of Expected Value
  Stephen Stigler
  University of Chicago
  A lecture given in the Dartmouth
  Fall 2002 Chance Course
• Racial Profiling
  Richard Fernandez
  Northern Arizona University
  A lecture given in the Dartmouth
  Fall 2002 Chance Course
• The Riemann Hypothesis
   Jeffrey Vaaler
   Univesity of Texas Austin
  A lecture given in the University of Texas Millenium Lecture Series based on the seven Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Prize Problems.
• Finite Mathematics, Dartmouth College 1983
   John G. Kemeny
   Based on the original Finite Math book
• A Dartmouth Chance Course
  Starring Peter Doyle
  Produced by Bob Drake and Wendy Conquest


• The Bible Codes
   Brendan McKay, Maya Bar-Hillel, Jeffrey H. Tigay
   Australian National University, Hebrew University, University of Pennsylvania
• Dartmouth Chance class 1994
   Freeman Dyson
   Institute of Advanced Study
  
• The Case Against the Bible Codes
   Barry Simon: California Institute of Technology
   Rabbi Adlerstein: Director: Jewish Studies Institute
• WNNE News Commentary on PowerBall lottery
  

• Behavioral Finance and Market Psychology
   Terrance Odean
   Haas School of Business,
   University of California, Berkeley

• Videos from Outside Sources

• The video tape series "Against All Odds" is part of the Annenberg CPB projects. It was made under the direction of David Moore. The series has twenty-six half hour video presentations These videos includes discussion of basic statistical concepts and also case studies of the use of statistics in the real world. We used these case studies ragularly in our Chance course. They can be freely downloaded here You can obtain The "Time-Subject Index for "Against All Odds" here

  Chance Audio Contents

  These are programs from sources such as National Public Radio that deal with topics related to a probability/statistics course. Listening to them requires the free RealPlayer
  
  • NPR Talk of the Nation, Jan. 7, 2000 Ira Flatow
    A discussion about the research of Elizabeth Brannon at Columbia University showing that monkeys can distinquish between numbers.

  • NPR Talk of the Nation, Oct. 9, 1998 Ira Flatow
    A discussion of mathematics and the media--some interesting chance comments by Perci Diacoinis.

  • NPR Talk of the Nation, Friday, August 28,1998 Ira Flatow
    A wide-ranging discussion of the way the census 2000 will be conducted, including the undercount problem, with Harvey Choldin, Author, Looking for the Last Percent: The Controversy Over Census Undercounts. Stephen Fienberg, University Professor of Statistics and Social Science, Carnegie Mellon University, co-author of the book on the census "Who Counts" and Steven Holmes Correspondent, New York Times.

  • NPR Weekend Edition June 13, 1998
    A brief but quite good discussion with Keith Devlin of coincidences with special reference to Bible Codes.
  • NPR Science Friday, May 29, 1998
    Richard Harris interviews psychologist Tom Gilovich and Ian Stewart about math in everyday life including discussions of streaks in sports and the birthday problem. There is a particularly interesting discussion between the guests and listeners who call in with their answers to the "birthday problem".

  • NPR Science Friday, 21 June 1996
    A two-hour report from the first World Skeptics Congress which illustrates the way that professional skeptics study and explain paranormal phenomena.

  • Car Talk: Week of 5/23/98
    The cartalk brothers discuss the infamous two-boys problem: Given that a family with two children has at least one boy, what is the probability the family has two boys.

  • Car Talk, Weeks of 10/18/97 and 10/23/97
    The cartalk brothers discuss the Monty Hall problem. You will find more about this problem, including a historical discussion and a chance to play the game .